Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.128817 0.148964 0.171203 0.197569 0.227978 0.261953 0.302805
2025-11-30 0.097416 0.124548 0.157570 0.200713 0.255613 0.323177 0.412724
2025-12-07 0.077749 0.106613 0.144217 0.196790 0.268428 0.362724 0.496465
2025-12-14 0.064916 0.094254 0.134662 0.194363 0.280388 0.400001 0.579288
2025-12-21 0.056808 0.086672 0.129832 0.196726 0.297892 0.445386 0.677293
2025-12-28 0.052159 0.083185 0.129993 0.205716 0.325287 0.507154 0.805583
2026-01-04 0.047546 0.078963 0.128262 0.211193 0.347417 0.562781 0.930225
2026-01-11 0.043517 0.075036 0.126328 0.215797 0.368229 0.617994 1.059796
2026-01-18 0.039563 0.070661 0.123022 0.217509 0.384091 0.666332 1.182736
2026-01-25 0.035427 0.065411 0.117550 0.214699 0.391598 0.700942 1.285275
2026-02-01 0.031237 0.059528 0.110249 0.207684 0.390633 0.720308 1.362204
2026-02-08 0.029171 0.057285 0.109177 0.211788 0.410156 0.777948 1.514962
2026-02-15 0.026852 0.054338 0.106566 0.212877 0.424471 0.828113 1.660551
2026-02-22 0.025043 0.052177 0.105214 0.216248 0.443582 0.889403 1.834841
2026-03-01 0.022609 0.048452 0.100360 0.212022 0.446970 0.920172 1.951065
2026-03-08 0.020622 0.045411 0.096529 0.209407 0.453249 0.957148 2.083774
2026-03-15 0.019330 0.043698 0.095236 0.211953 0.470568 1.018399 2.274280
2026-03-22 0.018770 0.043519 0.097160 0.221636 0.504279 1.117487 2.557580
2026-03-29 0.017930 0.042607 0.097381 0.227535 0.530197 1.202270 2.818087
2026-04-05 0.017079 0.041572 0.097206 0.232494 0.554467 1.285757 3.084542
2026-04-12 0.016076 0.040055 0.095770 0.234337 0.571655 1.354869 3.324746
2026-04-19 0.014840 0.037833 0.092450 0.231311 0.576904 1.396814 3.504383
2026-04-26 0.013443 0.035050 0.087498 0.223756 0.570295 1.409991 3.614953